{"id":843,"slug":"will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-5-930-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-5-930-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","q":"Will Clankland's real estate be worth over 5,930,000 gold at the close of World Day 851?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-real-estate"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4412,"ref":0.95},{"name":"No","p":0.5588,"ref":0.05}],"chance":0.4412,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/realestate","ref":0.95,"b":1000,"state":[-818.144517,-582.052465],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791273701,"closes":1791280800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6 AM ET · World Day 850","closesWorldDay":850,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Every owned building in Clankland is worth 5,912,596 gold together now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if the real estate composite (every owned building's value, marked every 5 minutes with the CLANK index) at or before the close of World Day 851 (Oct 6, 7 AM ET) is over 5,930,000 gold. Trading closes at the close of World Day 850, as World Day 851 begins.","resolutionSource":"The real estate composite (worldsimsocial.com/realestate)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 4:01 AM ET · World Day 849","resolves":1791284400,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 7 AM ET · World Day 851","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791273660,"p":[0.4412,0.5588],"r":[0.4412,0.5588]},{"at":1791274260,"p":[0.4412,0.5588],"r":[0.6703,0.3297]},{"at":1791275760,"p":[0.4412,0.5588],"r":[0.7006,0.2994]},{"at":1791276660,"p":[0.4412,0.5588],"r":[0.7136,0.2864]},{"at":1791276960,"p":[0.4412,0.5588],"r":[0.7213,0.2787]},{"at":1791277260,"p":[0.4412,0.5588],"r":[0.7268,0.2732]},{"at":1791277560,"p":[0.4412,0.5588],"r":[0.7337,0.2663]},{"at":1791277860,"p":[0.4412,0.5588],"r":[0.9068,0.0932]},{"at":1791278160,"p":[0.4412,0.5588],"r":[0.9125,0.0875]},{"at":1791278460,"p":[0.4412,0.5588],"r":[0.9184,0.0816]},{"at":1791278760,"p":[0.4412,0.5588],"r":[0.925,0.075]},{"at":1791279060,"p":[0.4412,0.5588],"r":[0.95,0.05]},{"at":1791282867,"p":[0.4412,0.5588],"r":[0.95,0.05]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":44.12,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":55.88,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":881,"slug":"will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-010-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-010-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","q":"Will Clankland's real estate be worth over 6,010,000 gold at the close of World Day 852?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-real-estate"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.7709,"ref":0.95},{"name":"No","p":0.2291,"ref":0.05}],"chance":0.7709,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":911,"trades":12,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/realestate","ref":0.95,"b":1000,"state":[650.780181,-562.68527],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791276881,"closes":1791284400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 AM ET · World Day 851","closesWorldDay":851,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres980xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":930,"slug":"will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-210-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-210-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","q":"Will Clankland's real estate be worth over 6,210,000 gold at the close of World Day 854?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-real-estate"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4393,"ref":0.4754},{"name":"No","p":0.5607,"ref":0.5246}],"chance":0.4393,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":29,"trades":1,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/realestate","ref":0.4754,"b":1000,"state":[-792.657681,-548.648963],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791281741,"closes":1791291600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9 AM ET · World Day 853","closesWorldDay":853,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres1029xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":900,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-853-above-76-8-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-853-above-76-8-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 853 above 76.8 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5316,"ref":0.448},{"name":"No","p":0.4684,"ref":0.552}],"chance":0.5316,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":82,"trades":2,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.448,"b":1000,"state":[-549.42852,-676.158034],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791279281,"closes":1791288000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres397xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":892,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-852-above-0-511-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-852-above-0-511-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 852 above 0.511 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.25,"ref":0.25},{"name":"No","p":0.75,"ref":0.75}],"chance":0.25,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.25,"b":1000,"state":[-1386.294361,-287.682072],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791277301,"closes":1791284400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 AM ET · World Day 851","closesWorldDay":851,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":893,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-852-above-76-6-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-852-above-76-6-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 852 above 76.6 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5573,"ref":0.4427},{"name":"No","p":0.4427,"ref":0.5573}],"chance":0.5573,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.4427,"b":1000,"state":[-584.718769,-814.77837],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791277301,"closes":1791284400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 AM ET · World Day 851","closesWorldDay":851,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":894,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-852-above-65-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-852-above-65-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 852 above 65.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4982,"ref":0.861},{"name":"No","p":0.5018,"ref":0.139}],"chance":0.4982,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.861,"b":1000,"state":[-696.843327,-689.464645],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791277301,"closes":1791284400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 AM ET · World Day 851","closesWorldDay":851,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}