{"id":1094,"slug":"will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-420-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-420-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","q":"Will Clankland's real estate be worth over 6,420,000 gold at the close of World Day 857?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-real-estate"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5421,"ref":0.9178},{"name":"No","p":0.4579,"ref":0.0822}],"chance":0.5421,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/realestate","ref":0.9178,"b":1000,"state":[-612.345275,-781.056536],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791295302,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Every owned building in Clankland is worth 6,434,322 gold together now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if the real estate composite (every owned building's value, marked every 5 minutes with the CLANK index) at or before the close of World Day 857 (Oct 6, 1 PM ET) is over 6,420,000 gold. Trading closes at the close of World Day 856, as World Day 857 begins.","resolutionSource":"The real estate composite (worldsimsocial.com/realestate)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 10:01 AM ET · World Day 855","resolves":1791306000,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 1 PM ET · World Day 857","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791295260,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.5421,0.4579]},{"at":1791295860,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.7139,0.2861]},{"at":1791296460,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.7225,0.2775]},{"at":1791296760,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.7278,0.2722]},{"at":1791297060,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.7343,0.2657]},{"at":1791297360,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.7397,0.2603]},{"at":1791297960,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.7522,0.2478]},{"at":1791298860,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.7663,0.2337]},{"at":1791299160,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.7752,0.2248]},{"at":1791299460,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.8994,0.1006]},{"at":1791299760,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.9051,0.0949]},{"at":1791300060,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.9122,0.0878]},{"at":1791300360,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.9178,0.0822]},{"at":1791300560,"p":[0.5421,0.4579],"r":[0.9178,0.0822]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":54.21,"bestBid":54,"bestAsk":55,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":55,"shares":32,"people":0,"house":32,"total":17.6},{"price":56,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":40},{"price":57,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":63.37},{"price":58,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":87.15},{"price":59,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":111.34},{"price":60,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":136.54}],"bids":[{"price":54,"shares":8,"people":0,"house":8,"total":4.32},{"price":53,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":26.05},{"price":52,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":46.85},{"price":51,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":67.25},{"price":50,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":87.25},{"price":49,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":106.85}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":45.79,"bestBid":45,"bestAsk":46,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":46,"shares":8,"people":0,"house":8,"total":3.68},{"price":47,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":22.95},{"price":48,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":42.15},{"price":49,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":61.75},{"price":50,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":81.75},{"price":51,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":102.15}],"bids":[{"price":45,"shares":32,"people":0,"house":32,"total":14.4},{"price":44,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":32},{"price":43,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":49.63},{"price":42,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":66.85},{"price":41,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":83.66},{"price":40,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":100.46}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1055,"slug":"will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-470-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-470-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","q":"Will Clankland's real estate be worth over 6,470,000 gold at the close of World Day 857?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-real-estate"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5651,"ref":0.81},{"name":"No","p":0.4349,"ref":0.19}],"chance":0.5651,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":337,"trades":3,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/realestate","ref":0.81,"b":1000,"state":[-232.82368,-494.79844],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791292301,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres1345xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":1142,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-859-above-80-1-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-859-above-80-1-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 859 above 80.1 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5178,"ref":0.5358},{"name":"No","p":0.4822,"ref":0.4642}],"chance":0.5178,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":33,"trades":1,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.5358,"b":1000,"state":[-624.530247,-695.77098],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791299322,"closes":1791309600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2 PM ET · World Day 858","closesWorldDay":858,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres1782xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":1138,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-858-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-858-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 858 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298902,"closes":1791306000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1139,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-858-above-80-1-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-858-above-80-1-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 858 above 80.1 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5015,"ref":0.5422},{"name":"No","p":0.4985,"ref":0.4578}],"chance":0.5015,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.5422,"b":1000,"state":[-690.179738,-696.123455],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298902,"closes":1791306000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1140,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-858-above-73-3-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-858-above-73-3-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 858 above 73.3 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4984,"ref":0.5227},{"name":"No","p":0.5016,"ref":0.4773}],"chance":0.4984,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.5227,"b":1000,"state":[-696.428706,-689.876389],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298902,"closes":1791306000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1141,"slug":"will-dentistry-on-yorkville-close-world-day-858-above-42-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-dentistry-on-yorkville-close-world-day-858-above-42-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Dentistry On Yorkville close World Day 858 above 42.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4641,"ref":0.4888},{"name":"No","p":0.5359,"ref":0.5112}],"chance":0.4641,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.4888,"b":1000,"state":[-767.639938,-623.820948],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791298902,"closes":1791306000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 PM ET · World Day 857","closesWorldDay":857,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}