{"id":1320,"slug":"will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-940-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-940-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","q":"Will Clankland's real estate be worth over 6,940,000 gold at the close of World Day 863?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-real-estate"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.562,"ref":0.95},{"name":"No","p":0.438,"ref":0.05}],"chance":0.562,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/realestate","ref":0.95,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-576.31231,-825.460824],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791316902,"closes":1791324000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6 PM ET · World Day 862","closesWorldDay":862,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Every owned building in Clankland is worth 6,960,595 gold together now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if the real estate composite (every owned building's value, marked every 5 minutes with the CLANK index) at or before the close of World Day 863 (Oct 6, 7 PM ET) is over 6,940,000 gold. Trading closes at the close of World Day 862, as World Day 863 begins.","resolutionSource":"The real estate composite (worldsimsocial.com/realestate)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 4:01 PM ET · World Day 861","resolves":1791327600,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 7 PM ET · World Day 863","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791316860,"p":[0.562,0.438],"r":[0.562,0.438]},{"at":1791317460,"p":[0.562,0.438],"r":[0.7584,0.2416]},{"at":1791317760,"p":[0.562,0.438],"r":[0.765,0.235]},{"at":1791318060,"p":[0.562,0.438],"r":[0.7703,0.2297]},{"at":1791319560,"p":[0.562,0.438],"r":[0.798,0.202]},{"at":1791319860,"p":[0.562,0.438],"r":[0.803,0.197]},{"at":1791320160,"p":[0.562,0.438],"r":[0.8082,0.1918]},{"at":1791320460,"p":[0.562,0.438],"r":[0.8213,0.1787]},{"at":1791320760,"p":[0.562,0.438],"r":[0.8269,0.1731]},{"at":1791321060,"p":[0.562,0.438],"r":[0.943,0.057]},{"at":1791321705,"p":[0.562,0.438],"r":[0.95,0.05]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":56.2,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":57,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":57,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":18.81},{"price":58,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":42.59},{"price":59,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":66.78},{"price":60,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":91.38},{"price":61,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":117},{"price":62,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":143.04}],"bids":[{"price":56,"shares":8,"people":0,"house":8,"total":4.48},{"price":55,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":26.48},{"price":54,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":48.62},{"price":53,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":69.82},{"price":52,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":90.62},{"price":51,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":111.02}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":43.8,"bestBid":43,"bestAsk":44,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":44,"shares":8,"people":0,"house":8,"total":3.52},{"price":45,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":21.52},{"price":46,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":40.38},{"price":47,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":59.18},{"price":48,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":78.38},{"price":49,"shares":40,"people":0,"house":40,"total":97.98}],"bids":[{"price":43,"shares":33,"people":0,"house":33,"total":14.19},{"price":42,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":31.41},{"price":41,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":48.22},{"price":40,"shares":41,"people":0,"house":41,"total":64.62},{"price":39,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":81},{"price":38,"shares":42,"people":0,"house":42,"total":96.96}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1287,"slug":"will-the-clank-index-close-world-day-863-above-1-599","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-clank-index-close-world-day-863-above-1-599","q":"Will the CLANK index close World Day 863 above 1,599?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clank-index","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5606,"ref":0.5814},{"name":"No","p":0.4394,"ref":0.4186}],"chance":0.5606,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":133,"trades":3,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/finance","ref":0.5814,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-444.872557,-688.444028],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791314202,"closes":1791324000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6 PM ET · World Day 862","closesWorldDay":862,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres1742xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":1315,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-863-above-79-3-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-863-above-79-3-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 863 above 79.3 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4659,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.5341,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.4659,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":71,"trades":1,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.05,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-692.546915,-555.747807],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791316902,"closes":1791324000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6 PM ET · World Day 862","closesWorldDay":862,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1350,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-864-above-0-491-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-864-above-0-491-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 864 above 0.491 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791320502,"closes":1791327600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 PM ET · World Day 863","closesWorldDay":863,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1351,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-864-above-75-1-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-864-above-75-1-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 864 above 75.1 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4175,"ref":0.0762},{"name":"No","p":0.5825,"ref":0.9238}],"chance":0.4175,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.0762,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-873.356615,-540.507896],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791320502,"closes":1791327600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 PM ET · World Day 863","closesWorldDay":863,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1352,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-864-above-64-8-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-864-above-64-8-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 864 above 64.8 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5831,"ref":0.3459},{"name":"No","p":0.4169,"ref":0.6541}],"chance":0.5831,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.3459,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-539.391673,-874.915758],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791320502,"closes":1791327600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 PM ET · World Day 863","closesWorldDay":863,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1353,"slug":"will-dentistry-on-yorkville-close-world-day-864-above-45-4-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-dentistry-on-yorkville-close-world-day-864-above-45-4-gold-a-share","q":"Will Dentistry On Yorkville close World Day 864 above 45.4 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4601,"ref":0.3593},{"name":"No","p":0.5399,"ref":0.6407}],"chance":0.4601,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.3593,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-776.338825,-616.34799],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791320502,"closes":1791327600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 PM ET · World Day 863","closesWorldDay":863,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}