{"id":1,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-839-above-0-491-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-839-above-0-491-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 839 above 0.491 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231685,"closes":1791237600,"closesText":"Oct 5, 6 PM ET · World Day 838","closesWorldDay":838,"status":"resolved","winner":"Yes","resolved":1791241225,"creator":null,"about":"Der Hoffskeller trades at 0.501 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Der Hoffskeller's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 839 (Oct 5, 7 PM ET) is above 0.491 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 838, as World Day 839 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 4:21 PM ET · World Day 837","resolves":1791241200,"resolvesText":"Oct 5, 7 PM ET · World Day 839","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","value":0.5012133269869483,"line":0.491,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":839,"at":1791241200,"read":1791241225},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791231660,"p":[0.75,0.25],"r":[0.75,0.25]},{"at":1791241225,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.75,0.25]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":75,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":25,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":547,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-845-above-0-491-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-845-above-0-491-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 845 above 0.491 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791252086,"closes":1791259200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 AM ET · World Day 844","closesWorldDay":844,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":525,"slug":"will-pacificheightssanfrancisco-be-clankbooks-top-hashtag-at-the-close-of-world-4","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-pacificheightssanfrancisco-be-clankbooks-top-hashtag-at-the-close-of-world-4","q":"Will #pacificheightssanfrancisco be Clankbook's top hashtag at the close of World Day 845?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankbook"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.6068,"ref":0.6224},{"name":"No","p":0.3932,"ref":0.3776}],"chance":0.6068,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":12,"trades":1,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/feed?q=%23pacificheightssanfrancisco","ref":0.6224,"b":1000,"state":[-487.430035,-921.405833],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791249145,"closes":1791259200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 AM ET · World Day 844","closesWorldDay":844,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres581xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":559,"slug":"will-marketmood-be-clankbooks-top-hashtag-at-the-close-of-world-day-845","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-marketmood-be-clankbooks-top-hashtag-at-the-close-of-world-day-845","q":"Will #marketmood be Clankbook's top hashtag at the close of World Day 845?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankbook"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.25,"ref":0.25},{"name":"No","p":0.75,"ref":0.75}],"chance":0.25,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/feed?q=%23marketmood","ref":0.25,"b":1000,"state":[-1386.294361,-287.682072],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791252686,"closes":1791259200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 AM ET · World Day 844","closesWorldDay":844,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":548,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-845-above-80-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-845-above-80-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 845 above 80.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4267,"ref":0.4595},{"name":"No","p":0.5733,"ref":0.5405}],"chance":0.4267,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.4595,"b":1000,"state":[-851.750055,-556.289602],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791252086,"closes":1791259200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 AM ET · World Day 844","closesWorldDay":844,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":549,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-845-above-71-6-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-845-above-71-6-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 845 above 71.6 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4977,"ref":0.4977},{"name":"No","p":0.5023,"ref":0.5023}],"chance":0.4977,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.4977,"b":1000,"state":[-697.732778,-688.582515],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791252086,"closes":1791259200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 AM ET · World Day 844","closesWorldDay":844,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":550,"slug":"will-salt-and-straw-close-world-day-845-above-60-8-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-salt-and-straw-close-world-day-845-above-60-8-gold-a-share","q":"Will Salt & Straw close World Day 845 above 60.8 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4989,"ref":0.4989},{"name":"No","p":0.5011,"ref":0.5011}],"chance":0.4989,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.4989,"b":1000,"state":[-695.261227,-691.037594],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791252086,"closes":1791259200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 AM ET · World Day 844","closesWorldDay":844,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}