{"id":190,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-840-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-840-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 840 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234085,"closes":1791241200,"closesText":"Oct 5, 7 PM ET · World Day 839","closesWorldDay":839,"status":"resolved","winner":"Yes","resolved":1791244825,"creator":null,"about":"Der Hoffskeller trades at 0.501 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Der Hoffskeller's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 840 (Oct 5, 8 PM ET) is above 0.501 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 839, as World Day 840 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 5:01 PM ET · World Day 838","resolves":1791244800,"resolvesText":"Oct 5, 8 PM ET · World Day 840","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","value":0.5012133269869483,"line":0.501,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":840,"at":1791244800,"read":1791244825},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791234060,"p":[0.75,0.25],"r":[0.75,0.25]},{"at":1791244825,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.75,0.25]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":75,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":25,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":486,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-843-above-0-511-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-843-above-0-511-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 843 above 0.511 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.25,"ref":0.25},{"name":"No","p":0.75,"ref":0.75}],"chance":0.25,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.25,"b":1000,"state":[-1386.294361,-287.682072],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791244885,"closes":1791252000,"closesText":"Oct 5, 10 PM ET · World Day 842","closesWorldDay":842,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":487,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-843-above-76-6-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-843-above-76-6-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 843 above 76.6 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4991,"ref":0.4071},{"name":"No","p":0.5009,"ref":0.5929}],"chance":0.4991,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.4071,"b":1000,"state":[-694.864357,-691.432948],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791244885,"closes":1791252000,"closesText":"Oct 5, 10 PM ET · World Day 842","closesWorldDay":842,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":488,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-843-above-63-5-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-843-above-63-5-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 843 above 63.5 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5669,"ref":0.9155},{"name":"No","p":0.4331,"ref":0.0845}],"chance":0.5669,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.9155,"b":1000,"state":[-567.648393,-836.687115],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791244885,"closes":1791252000,"closesText":"Oct 5, 10 PM ET · World Day 842","closesWorldDay":842,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":489,"slug":"will-salt-and-straw-close-world-day-843-above-57-2-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-salt-and-straw-close-world-day-843-above-57-2-gold-a-share","q":"Will Salt & Straw close World Day 843 above 57.2 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4445,"ref":0.6687},{"name":"No","p":0.5555,"ref":0.3313}],"chance":0.4445,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.6687,"b":1000,"state":[-810.721916,-587.953336],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791244885,"closes":1791252000,"closesText":"Oct 5, 10 PM ET · World Day 842","closesWorldDay":842,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":525,"slug":"will-pacificheightssanfrancisco-be-clankbooks-top-hashtag-at-the-close-of-world-4","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-pacificheightssanfrancisco-be-clankbooks-top-hashtag-at-the-close-of-world-4","q":"Will #pacificheightssanfrancisco be Clankbook's top hashtag at the close of World Day 845?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankbook"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.6068,"ref":0.602},{"name":"No","p":0.3932,"ref":0.398}],"chance":0.6068,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":12,"trades":1,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/feed?q=%23pacificheightssanfrancisco","ref":0.602,"b":1000,"state":[-487.430035,-921.405833],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791249145,"closes":1791259200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 AM ET · World Day 844","closesWorldDay":844,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres581xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}