{"id":486,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-843-above-0-511-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-843-above-0-511-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 843 above 0.511 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.25,"ref":0.25},{"name":"No","p":0.75,"ref":0.75}],"chance":0.25,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.25,"b":1000,"state":[-1386.294361,-287.682072],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791244885,"closes":1791252000,"closesText":"Oct 5, 10 PM ET · World Day 842","closesWorldDay":842,"status":"resolved","winner":"No","resolved":1791255627,"creator":null,"about":"Der Hoffskeller trades at 0.501 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Der Hoffskeller's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 843 (Oct 5, 11 PM ET) is above 0.511 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 842, as World Day 843 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 8:01 PM ET · World Day 841","resolves":1791255600,"resolvesText":"Oct 5, 11 PM ET · World Day 843","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","value":0.5012133269869483,"line":0.511,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":843,"at":1791255600,"read":1791255627},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791244860,"p":[0.25,0.75],"r":[0.25,0.75]},{"at":1791255627,"p":[0,1],"r":[0.25,0.75]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":25,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":75,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":578,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-846-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-846-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 846 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":581,"slug":"will-salt-and-straw-close-world-day-846-above-61-1-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-salt-and-straw-close-world-day-846-above-61-1-gold-a-share","q":"Will Salt & Straw close World Day 846 above 61.1 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.2863,"ref":0.117},{"name":"No","p":0.7137,"ref":0.883}],"chance":0.2863,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":551,"trades":8,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.117,"b":1000,"state":[-698.758133,214.432464],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":592,"slug":"will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-5-620-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-5-620-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","q":"Will Clankland's real estate be worth over 5,620,000 gold at the close of World Day 847?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-real-estate"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4704,"ref":0.6923},{"name":"No","p":0.5296,"ref":0.3077}],"chance":0.4704,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":132,"trades":2,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/realestate","ref":0.6923,"b":1000,"state":[-621.857348,-503.18821],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791257127,"closes":1791266400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2 AM ET · World Day 846","closesWorldDay":846,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres327xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":579,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-846-above-76-1-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-846-above-76-1-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 846 above 76.1 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4278,"ref":0.6397},{"name":"No","p":0.5722,"ref":0.3603}],"chance":0.4278,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.6397,"b":1000,"state":[-849.153196,-558.226542],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":580,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-846-above-75-8-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-846-above-75-8-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 846 above 75.8 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5732,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.4268,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.5732,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.05,"b":1000,"state":[-556.480792,-851.493202],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}