{"id":547,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-845-above-0-491-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-845-above-0-491-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 845 above 0.491 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791252086,"closes":1791259200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 AM ET · World Day 844","closesWorldDay":844,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Der Hoffskeller trades at 0.501 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Der Hoffskeller's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 845 (Oct 6, 1 AM ET) is above 0.491 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 844, as World Day 845 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 10:01 PM ET · World Day 843","resolves":1791262800,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791252060,"p":[0.75,0.25],"r":[0.75,0.25]},{"at":1791259778,"p":[0.75,0.25],"r":[0.75,0.25]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":75,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":25,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":578,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-846-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-846-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 846 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":581,"slug":"will-salt-and-straw-close-world-day-846-above-61-1-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-salt-and-straw-close-world-day-846-above-61-1-gold-a-share","q":"Will Salt & Straw close World Day 846 above 61.1 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.3454,"ref":0.2704},{"name":"No","p":0.6546,"ref":0.7296}],"chance":0.3454,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":364,"trades":6,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.2704,"b":1000,"state":[-698.758133,-59.567536],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":592,"slug":"will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-5-620-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-5-620-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","q":"Will Clankland's real estate be worth over 5,620,000 gold at the close of World Day 847?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-real-estate"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4079,"ref":0.397},{"name":"No","p":0.5921,"ref":0.603}],"chance":0.4079,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":20,"trades":1,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/realestate","ref":0.397,"b":1000,"state":[-875.857348,-503.18821],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791257127,"closes":1791266400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2 AM ET · World Day 846","closesWorldDay":846,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres327xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":579,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-846-above-76-1-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-846-above-76-1-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 846 above 76.1 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4278,"ref":0.3503},{"name":"No","p":0.5722,"ref":0.6497}],"chance":0.4278,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.3503,"b":1000,"state":[-849.153196,-558.226542],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":580,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-846-above-75-8-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-846-above-75-8-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 846 above 75.8 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5732,"ref":0.5361},{"name":"No","p":0.4268,"ref":0.4639}],"chance":0.5732,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.5361,"b":1000,"state":[-556.480792,-851.493202],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}