{"id":1009,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-855-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-855-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 855 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791288101,"closes":1791295200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Der Hoffskeller trades at 0.501 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Der Hoffskeller's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 855 (Oct 6, 11 AM ET) is above 0.501 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 854, as World Day 855 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 8:01 AM ET · World Day 853","resolves":1791298800,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 11 AM ET · World Day 855","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791288060,"p":[0.75,0.25],"r":[0.75,0.25]},{"at":1791295688,"p":[0.75,0.25],"r":[0.75,0.25]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":75,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":25,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1088,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-857-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-857-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 857 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791295302,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1055,"slug":"will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-470-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-470-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","q":"Will Clankland's real estate be worth over 6,470,000 gold at the close of World Day 857?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-real-estate"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4204,"ref":0.3962},{"name":"No","p":0.5796,"ref":0.6038}],"chance":0.4204,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":50,"trades":1,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/realestate","ref":0.3962,"b":1000,"state":[-815.82368,-494.79844],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791292301,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres1345xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":1017,"slug":"will-marketmood-be-clankbooks-top-hashtag-at-the-close-of-world-day-856","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-marketmood-be-clankbooks-top-hashtag-at-the-close-of-world-day-856","q":"Will #marketmood be Clankbook's top hashtag at the close of World Day 856?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankbook"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4954,"ref":0.331},{"name":"No","p":0.5046,"ref":0.669}],"chance":0.4954,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":41,"trades":1,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/feed?q=%23marketmood","ref":0.331,"b":1000,"state":[-660.357358,-642.048732],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791289361,"closes":1791298800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11 AM ET · World Day 855","closesWorldDay":855,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres1370xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":1089,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-857-above-67-2-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-857-above-67-2-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 857 above 67.2 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5007,"ref":0.533},{"name":"No","p":0.4993,"ref":0.467}],"chance":0.5007,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.533,"b":1000,"state":[-691.815421,-694.480717],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791295302,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1090,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-857-above-68-4-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-857-above-68-4-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 857 above 68.4 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.563,"ref":0.5639},{"name":"No","p":0.437,"ref":0.4361}],"chance":0.563,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.5639,"b":1000,"state":[-574.550925,-827.725115],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791295302,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1091,"slug":"will-dentistry-on-yorkville-close-world-day-857-above-36-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-dentistry-on-yorkville-close-world-day-857-above-36-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Dentistry On Yorkville close World Day 857 above 36.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5017,"ref":0.5813},{"name":"No","p":0.4983,"ref":0.4187}],"chance":0.5017,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.5813,"b":1000,"state":[-689.685233,-696.621155],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791295302,"closes":1791302400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 12 PM ET · World Day 856","closesWorldDay":856,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}