{"id":1497,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-870-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-870-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 870 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791342102,"closes":1791349200,"closesText":"Oct 7, 1 AM ET · World Day 869","closesWorldDay":869,"status":"closed","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Der Hoffskeller trades at 0.501 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Der Hoffskeller's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 870 (Oct 7, 2 AM ET) is above 0.501 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 869, as World Day 870 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 11:01 PM ET · World Day 868","resolves":1791352800,"resolvesText":"Oct 7, 2 AM ET · World Day 870","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791342060,"p":[0.75,0.25],"r":[0.75,0.25]},{"at":1791350330,"p":[0.75,0.25],"r":[0.75,0.25]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":75,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":25,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":1561,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-872-above-0-491-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-872-above-0-491-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 872 above 0.491 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791349302,"closes":1791356400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 3 AM ET · World Day 871","closesWorldDay":871,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1576,"slug":"will-salt-and-straw-close-world-day-872-above-53-6-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-salt-and-straw-close-world-day-872-above-53-6-gold-a-share","q":"Will Salt & Straw close World Day 872 above 53.6 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5071,"ref":0.5074},{"name":"No","p":0.4929,"ref":0.4926}],"chance":0.5071,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.5074,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-679.003321,-707.493963],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791349602,"closes":1791356400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 3 AM ET · World Day 871","closesWorldDay":871,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1562,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-872-above-81-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-872-above-81-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 872 above 81.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5974,"ref":0.5426},{"name":"No","p":0.4026,"ref":0.4574}],"chance":0.5974,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.5426,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-515.138838,-909.855593],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791349302,"closes":1791356400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 3 AM ET · World Day 871","closesWorldDay":871,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1563,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-872-above-70-5-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-872-above-70-5-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 872 above 70.5 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.6024,"ref":0.0902},{"name":"No","p":0.3976,"ref":0.9098}],"chance":0.6024,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.0902,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-506.815156,-922.336752],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791349302,"closes":1791356400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 3 AM ET · World Day 871","closesWorldDay":871,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1564,"slug":"will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-872-above-36-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-ministry-of-supply-close-world-day-872-above-36-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Ministry of Supply close World Day 872 above 36.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5032,"ref":0.6449},{"name":"No","p":0.4968,"ref":0.3551}],"chance":0.5032,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.6449,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-686.802298,-699.532578],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791349302,"closes":1791356400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 3 AM ET · World Day 871","closesWorldDay":871,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":1565,"slug":"will-dentistry-on-yorkville-close-world-day-872-above-22-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-dentistry-on-yorkville-close-world-day-872-above-22-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Dentistry On Yorkville close World Day 872 above 22.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4422,"ref":0.8671},{"name":"No","p":0.5578,"ref":0.1329}],"chance":0.4422,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.8671,"refSrc":null,"b":1000,"state":[-816.014287,-583.737937],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791349302,"closes":1791356400,"closesText":"Oct 7, 3 AM ET · World Day 871","closesWorldDay":871,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}