{"id":904,"slug":"will-kenya-have-an-ebola-case-in-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-kenya-have-an-ebola-case-in-2026","q":"Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?","cat":"weather","catName":"Weather","emoji":"⛅","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.974,"ref":0.999},{"name":"No","p":0.026,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.974,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-have-an-ebola-case-in-2026","ref":0.999,"b":1194,"state":[-31.454707,-4357.692537],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791279341,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?","rules":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}