{"id":1419,"slug":"will-messi-score-1-goals-vs-benin","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-messi-score-1-goals-vs-benin","q":"Will Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.875,"ref":0.68},{"name":"No","p":0.125,"ref":0.32}],"chance":0.875,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/argentina-vs-benin-messi-goals","ref":0.68,"refSrc":"Polymarket","b":1365,"state":[-182.270351,-2838.437704],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791331002,"closes":1791345540,"closesText":"Oct 6, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 868","closesWorldDay":868,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Argentina vs. Benin: Messi Goals","rules":"Lionel Messi is scheduled to play his final match for the Argentina men's national team against Benin at the Estadio Monumental in Buenos Aires on October 6, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the number of goals Lionel Messi scores in this match equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly goals scored during regular time and stoppage time count. Only goals credited to Messi on the official match report count. Penalty kicks scored during the match count; penalty shootout goals and own goals do not count. If the match is abandoned and not replayed, goals scored before the abandonment count.\n\nIf Lionel Messi does not play in this match for any reason, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the match is cancelled, postponed beyond October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many goals Lionel Messi scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"50-50\". If the match is postponed to a date on or before October 20, 2026, this market will resolve based on the rescheduled match.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official match report published by FIFA or the Argentine Football Association (AFA); however, a consensus of credible reporting, including match data from Flashscore or Sofascore, may also be used.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 7:56 PM ET · World Day 864","resolves":1791345540,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 868","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791330960,"p":[0.875,0.125],"r":[0.875,0.125]},{"at":1791331020,"p":[0.875,0.125],"r":[0.87,0.13]},{"at":1791332160,"p":[0.875,0.125],"r":[0.815,0.185]},{"at":1791333360,"p":[0.875,0.125],"r":[0.745,0.255]},{"at":1791334560,"p":[0.875,0.125],"r":[0.68,0.32]},{"at":1791335106,"p":[0.875,0.125],"r":[0.68,0.32]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":87.5,"bestBid":87,"bestAsk":88,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":88,"shares":63,"people":0,"house":63,"total":55.44},{"price":89,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":175.59},{"price":90,"shares":145,"people":0,"house":145,"total":306.09},{"price":91,"shares":159,"people":0,"house":159,"total":450.78},{"price":92,"shares":176,"people":0,"house":176,"total":612.7},{"price":93,"shares":197,"people":0,"house":197,"total":795.91}],"bids":[{"price":87,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":53.07},{"price":86,"shares":117,"people":0,"house":117,"total":153.69},{"price":85,"shares":110,"people":0,"house":110,"total":247.19},{"price":84,"shares":105,"people":0,"house":105,"total":335.39},{"price":83,"shares":99,"people":0,"house":99,"total":417.56},{"price":82,"shares":94,"people":0,"house":94,"total":494.64}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":12.5,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":13,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":13,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":7.93},{"price":14,"shares":117,"people":0,"house":117,"total":24.31},{"price":15,"shares":110,"people":0,"house":110,"total":40.81},{"price":16,"shares":105,"people":0,"house":105,"total":57.61},{"price":17,"shares":99,"people":0,"house":99,"total":74.44},{"price":18,"shares":94,"people":0,"house":94,"total":91.36}],"bids":[{"price":12,"shares":63,"people":0,"house":63,"total":7.56},{"price":11,"shares":135,"people":0,"house":135,"total":22.41},{"price":10,"shares":145,"people":0,"house":145,"total":36.91},{"price":9,"shares":159,"people":0,"house":159,"total":51.22},{"price":8,"shares":176,"people":0,"house":176,"total":65.3},{"price":7,"shares":197,"people":0,"house":197,"total":79.09}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":243,"slug":"fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","q":"FC 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Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio - Exact Score: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"AC Monza 0 - 3 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0176,"ref":0.0091},{"name":"AC Monza 0 - 4 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.2835,"ref":0.048},{"name":"AC Monza 1 - 3 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0176,"ref":0.0091},{"name":"AC Monza 2 - 4 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0176,"ref":0.0091},{"name":"AC Monza 5 - 2 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0176,"ref":0.0058},{"name":"AC Monza 4 - 4 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0176,"ref":0.0071},{"name":"AC Monza 4 - 5 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0176,"ref":0.048},{"name":"AC Monza 3 - 1 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0174,"ref":0.0441},{"name":"AC Monza 4 - 3 Cagliari Calcio","p":0.0174,"ref":0.0447},{"name":"AC Monza 3 - 5 Cagliari 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wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Barcelona","p":0.2141,"ref":0.2507},{"name":"Bayern Munich","p":0.1444,"ref":0.1616},{"name":"Arsenal","p":0.1345,"ref":0.1504},{"name":"Paris Saint-Germain","p":0.1245,"ref":0.1393},{"name":"Real Madrid","p":0.0946,"ref":0.117},{"name":"Manchester City","p":0.0847,"ref":0.0613},{"name":"Liverpool","p":0.0448,"ref":0.0501},{"name":"Inter Milan","p":0.0219,"ref":0.0251},{"name":"Manchester United","p":0.0214,"ref":0.024},{"name":"Atlético 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}