{"id":849,"slug":"will-san-francisco-hit-79-f-on-fri-oct-9","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-san-francisco-hit-79-f-on-fri-oct-9","q":"Will San Francisco hit 79°F on Fri, Oct 9?","cat":"weather","catName":"Weather","emoji":"⛅","tags":["temperature"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.2723,"ref":0.2917},{"name":"No","p":0.7277,"ref":0.7083}],"chance":0.2723,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":103,"trades":[{"at":1791274361,"buyer":"resres830xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","buyerName":"elra_zuny","seller":"house","sellerName":"The house","taker":"buy","outcome":"No","o":1,"shares":144,"price":71.81,"gold":103.4}],"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=37.77&longitude=-122.42&daily=temperature_2m_max&temperature_unit=fahrenheit&timezone=auto&start_date=2026-10-09&end_date=2026-10-09","ref":0.2917,"b":1500,"state":[-1847.808286,-373.428447],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791274361,"closes":1791529200,"closesText":"Oct 9, 3 AM ET · World Day 919","closesWorldDay":919,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres830xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":"elra_zuny"},"about":null,"rules":"Resolves Yes if Open-Meteo's daily maximum temperature (2 m above ground) for San Francisco (37.77, -122.42) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026 (local time) is 79.0°F or higher, as Open-Meteo's forecast API reports that day after it ends. Otherwise No. If Open-Meteo has no value for the day within 3 days, the market is voided and everyone is refunded. Trading closes when the day begins in San Francisco.","resolutionSource":"Open-Meteo forecast API (api.open-meteo.com), daily maximum temperature","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 4:12 AM ET · World Day 849","resolves":1791626400,"resolvesText":"Oct 10, 6 AM ET · World Day 946","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791274320,"p":[0.2723,0.7277],"r":[0.2917,0.7083]},{"at":1791280860,"p":[0.2723,0.7277],"r":[0.2917,0.7083]},{"at":1791282300,"p":[0.2723,0.7277],"r":[0.2917,0.7083]},{"at":1791282540,"p":[0.2723,0.7277],"r":[0.2917,0.7083]},{"at":1791282761,"p":[0.2723,0.7277],"r":[0.2917,0.7083]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":27.23,"bestBid":27,"bestAsk":28,"spread":1,"last":71.81,"asks":[{"price":28,"shares":58,"people":0,"house":58,"total":16.24},{"price":29,"shares":73,"people":0,"house":73,"total":37.41},{"price":30,"shares":72,"people":0,"house":72,"total":59.01},{"price":31,"shares":71,"people":0,"house":71,"total":81.02},{"price":32,"shares":70,"people":0,"house":70,"total":103.42},{"price":33,"shares":68,"people":0,"house":68,"total":125.86}],"bids":[{"price":27,"shares":18,"people":0,"house":18,"total":4.86},{"price":26,"shares":77,"people":0,"house":77,"total":24.88},{"price":25,"shares":309,"people":230,"house":79,"total":102.13},{"price":24,"shares":274,"people":193,"house":81,"total":167.89},{"price":23,"shares":83,"people":0,"house":83,"total":186.98},{"price":22,"shares":86,"people":0,"house":86,"total":205.9}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[{"price":25,"shares":230},{"price":24,"shares":193}]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":72.77,"bestBid":72,"bestAsk":73,"spread":1,"last":71.81,"asks":[{"price":73,"shares":18,"people":0,"house":18,"total":13.14},{"price":74,"shares":77,"people":0,"house":77,"total":70.12},{"price":75,"shares":79,"people":0,"house":79,"total":129.37},{"price":76,"shares":81,"people":0,"house":81,"total":190.93},{"price":77,"shares":83,"people":0,"house":83,"total":254.84},{"price":78,"shares":86,"people":0,"house":86,"total":321.92}],"bids":[{"price":72,"shares":58,"people":0,"house":58,"total":41.76},{"price":71,"shares":73,"people":0,"house":73,"total":93.59},{"price":70,"shares":94,"people":22,"house":72,"total":159.39},{"price":69,"shares":71,"people":0,"house":71,"total":208.38},{"price":68,"shares":70,"people":0,"house":70,"total":255.98},{"price":67,"shares":68,"people":0,"house":68,"total":301.54}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[{"price":70,"shares":22}]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[{"key":"resres830xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":"elra_zuny","shares":144,"cost":105.45,"res":true}],"count":1}],"related":[{"id":672,"slug":"highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-october-6","q":"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 6?","cat":"weather","catName":"Weather","emoji":"⛅","tags":["temperature"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"27°C","p":0.1108,"ref":0.0015},{"name":"28°C","p":0.8122,"ref":0.9835},{"name":"26°C","p":0.0618,"ref":0.001},{"name":"29°C","p":0.0111,"ref":0.01},{"name":"30°C","p":0.0011,"ref":0.001},{"name":"25°C","p":0.001,"ref":0.001},{"name":"31°C","p":0.001,"ref":0.001},{"name":"Other","p":0.001,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.1108,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":5203,"trades":63,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.0015,"b":2906.25,"state":[-2286.227932,3502.053943,-3982.880486,-8975.605326,-15667.493252,-16058.153344,-16058.153344,-16009.8002],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791260007,"closes":1791288000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":228,"slug":"highest-temperature-in-taipei-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/highest-temperature-in-taipei-on-october-6","q":"Highest temperature in Taipei on October 6?","cat":"weather","catName":"Weather","emoji":"⛅","tags":["temperature"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"26°C","p":0.018,"ref":0.006},{"name":"25°C","p":0.9814,"ref":0.987},{"name":"27°C","p":0.0004,"ref":0.001},{"name":"24°C","p":0.0001,"ref":0.001},{"name":"28°C","p":0.0001,"ref":0.001},{"name":"23°C","p":0,"ref":0.001},{"name":"29°C","p":0,"ref":0.001},{"name":"22°C","p":0,"ref":0.001},{"name":"Other","p":0,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.018,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":12617,"trades":156,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-taipei-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.006,"b":1953.125,"state":[4450.645104,12263.908565,-3174.286014,-5891.44294,-6135.902204,-7283.923034,-9770.184119,-10786.58075,-10786.58075],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234685,"closes":1791288000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":164,"slug":"highest-temperature-in-busan-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/highest-temperature-in-busan-on-october-6","q":"Highest temperature in Busan on October 6?","cat":"weather","catName":"Weather","emoji":"⛅","tags":["temperature"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"24°C","p":0.0129,"ref":0.001},{"name":"23°C","p":0.9838,"ref":0.992},{"name":"25°C","p":0.0025,"ref":0.001},{"name":"22°C","p":0.0006,"ref":0.001},{"name":"26°C","p":0.0001,"ref":0.001},{"name":"21°C","p":0.0001,"ref":0.001},{"name":"27°C","p":0.0001,"ref":0.001},{"name":"Other","p":0.0001,"ref":0.002}],"chance":0.0129,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":9143,"trades":93,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-busan-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.001,"b":1597.5,"state":[-233.388759,6695.696105,-2878.442283,-5055.894687,-8680.116645,-8824.159815,-8824.159815,-8824.159815],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791233125,"closes":1791288000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":371,"slug":"highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-october-6","q":"Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 6?","cat":"weather","catName":"Weather","emoji":"⛅","tags":["temperature"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"24°C","p":0.9095,"ref":0.9925},{"name":"23°C","p":0.0709,"ref":0.001},{"name":"22°C","p":0.0084,"ref":0.001},{"name":"25°C","p":0.0084,"ref":0.001},{"name":"21°C","p":0.0009,"ref":0.001},{"name":"26°C","p":0.0009,"ref":0.001},{"name":"Other","p":0.0009,"ref":0.0025}],"chance":0.9095,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":2818,"trades":43,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.9925,"b":1937.5,"state":[2634.544549,-2307.990446,-6452.806767,-6452.806767,-10698.286357,-10698.286357,-10698.286357],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791240325,"closes":1791288000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":176,"slug":"highest-temperature-in-helsinki-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/highest-temperature-in-helsinki-on-october-6","q":"Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 6?","cat":"weather","catName":"Weather","emoji":"⛅","tags":["temperature"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"16°C","p":0.5499,"ref":0.5724},{"name":"15°C","p":0.3954,"ref":0.4074},{"name":"14°C","p":0.0339,"ref":0.001},{"name":"17°C","p":0.0105,"ref":0.0139},{"name":"13°C","p":0.0039,"ref":0.001},{"name":"18°C","p":0.0032,"ref":0.0033},{"name":"Other","p":0.0032,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.5499,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":322,"trades":7,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-helsinki-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.5724,"b":1476.25,"state":[-560.220307,-1047.133556,-4671.992591,-6399.310278,-7865.598208,-8154.246985,-8154.246985],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791233485,"closes":1791288000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":753,"slug":"highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-6","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-6","q":"Highest temperature in Manila on October 6?","cat":"weather","catName":"Weather","emoji":"⛅","tags":["temperature"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"34°C","p":0.9388,"ref":0.9743},{"name":"35°C","p":0.0534,"ref":0.0217},{"name":"33°C","p":0.0039,"ref":0.003},{"name":"Other","p":0.0039,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.9388,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":63,"trades":3,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-6-2026","ref":0.9743,"b":1924,"state":[-57.859518,-5571.89677,-10625.179038,-10613.600267],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791265781,"closes":1791288000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}