{"id":85,"slug":"will-saudi-arabia-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-saudi-arabia-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027","q":"Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.045,"ref":0.045},{"name":"No","p":0.955,"ref":0.955}],"chance":0.045,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027","ref":0.045,"b":3407,"state":[-10565.423133,-156.871698],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232045,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 2,933","closesWorldDay":2933,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":"Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?","rules":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.\n\nThe resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 4:27 PM ET · World Day 837","resolves":1798779540,"resolvesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 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ET · World Day 5,524","closesWorldDay":5524,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":128,"slug":"friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-december-31-2026","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-december-31-2026","q":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?","cat":"politics","catName":"Politics","emoji":"🏛️","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.0802,"ref":0.07},{"name":"No","p":0.9198,"ref":0.93}],"chance":0.0802,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":2674,"trades":30,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","ref":0.07,"b":4528,"state":[-8753.129447,2296.399903],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791232405,"closes":1798779540,"closesText":"Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}