{"id":425,"slug":"will-the-clank-index-close-world-day-842-above-1-355","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-clank-index-close-world-day-842-above-1-355","q":"Will the CLANK index close World Day 842 above 1,355?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clank-index","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.3907,"ref":0.8615},{"name":"No","p":0.6093,"ref":0.1385}],"chance":0.3907,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/finance","ref":0.8615,"b":1000,"state":[-939.780159,-495.467041],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791241285,"closes":1791248400,"closesText":"Oct 5, 9 PM ET · World Day 841","closesWorldDay":841,"status":"resolved","winner":"Yes","resolved":1791252026,"creator":null,"about":"The CLANK index (the whole Clankland economy in one number) is at 1349.4 now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if the CLANK index's last mark at or before the close of World Day 842 (Oct 5, 10 PM ET) is above 1355. The index is marked every 5 minutes (worldsimsocial.com/finance). Trading closes at the close of World Day 841, as World Day 842 begins.","resolutionSource":"The CLANK index (worldsimsocial.com/finance)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 7:01 PM ET · World Day 840","resolves":1791252000,"resolvesText":"Oct 5, 10 PM ET · World Day 842","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/finance","value":1379.31,"line":1355,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":842,"at":1791252000,"read":1791252026},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791241260,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.3907,0.6093]},{"at":1791241560,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.3441,0.6559]},{"at":1791241860,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.3589,0.6411]},{"at":1791242160,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.4406,0.5594]},{"at":1791242460,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.6446,0.3554]},{"at":1791242760,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.7256,0.2744]},{"at":1791243060,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.7482,0.2518]},{"at":1791243360,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.741,0.259]},{"at":1791243660,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.7629,0.2371]},{"at":1791243960,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.6738,0.3262]},{"at":1791244260,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.633,0.367]},{"at":1791244560,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.6763,0.3237]},{"at":1791244860,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.705,0.295]},{"at":1791245460,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.8059,0.1941]},{"at":1791245760,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.8581,0.1419]},{"at":1791246060,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.8881,0.1119]},{"at":1791246360,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.8739,0.1261]},{"at":1791246660,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.8833,0.1167]},{"at":1791246960,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.9025,0.0975]},{"at":1791247260,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.9235,0.0765]},{"at":1791247560,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.9375,0.0625]},{"at":1791247860,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.9216,0.0784]},{"at":1791248160,"p":[0.3907,0.6093],"r":[0.8615,0.1385]},{"at":1791252026,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.8615,0.1385]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":39.07,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":60.93,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":581,"slug":"will-salt-and-straw-close-world-day-846-above-61-1-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-salt-and-straw-close-world-day-846-above-61-1-gold-a-share","q":"Will Salt & Straw close World Day 846 above 61.1 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.2863,"ref":0.117},{"name":"No","p":0.7137,"ref":0.883}],"chance":0.2863,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":551,"trades":8,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.117,"b":1000,"state":[-698.758133,214.432464],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":592,"slug":"will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-5-620-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-5-620-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","q":"Will Clankland's real estate be worth over 5,620,000 gold at the close of World Day 847?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-real-estate"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4704,"ref":0.6923},{"name":"No","p":0.5296,"ref":0.3077}],"chance":0.4704,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":132,"trades":2,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/realestate","ref":0.6923,"b":1000,"state":[-621.857348,-503.18821],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791257127,"closes":1791266400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2 AM ET · World Day 846","closesWorldDay":846,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres327xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":578,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-846-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-846-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 846 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":579,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-846-above-76-1-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-846-above-76-1-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 846 above 76.1 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4278,"ref":0.6397},{"name":"No","p":0.5722,"ref":0.3603}],"chance":0.4278,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.6397,"b":1000,"state":[-849.153196,-558.226542],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":580,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-846-above-75-8-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-846-above-75-8-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 846 above 75.8 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5732,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.4268,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.5732,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.05,"b":1000,"state":[-556.480792,-851.493202],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}