{"id":475,"slug":"will-the-txse-texas-stock-exchange-be-seen-as-a-viable-alternative-to-the-nyse","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-txse-texas-stock-exchange-be-seen-as-a-viable-alternative-to-the-nyse","q":"Will the TXSE (Texas Stock Exchange) be seen as a viable alternative to the NYSE/Nasdaq by 2028?","cat":"economy","catName":"Economy","emoji":"💵","tags":["stocks","us-elections"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.1853,"ref":0.1853},{"name":"No","p":0.8147,"ref":0.8147}],"chance":0.1853,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"mani","source":"Manifold","sourceUrl":"https://manifold.markets/SimranRahman/will-the-txse-texas-stock-exchange","ref":0.1853,"b":1098,"state":[-1850.755056,-225.071415],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791244165,"closes":1830319140,"closesText":"Jan 1, 12:59 AM ET · World Day 11,694","closesWorldDay":11694,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"Meet the TXSE: Texas Stock Exchange.\n\nThe WSJ reported on June 4 that a group backed by BlackRock and Citadel with $120M raised is planning to launch a new U.S. stock exchange based in Texas. The exchange plans to open for trading in 2025 and host its first listing in 2026. \n\nThe goal of the exchange is to serve as an alternative to companies seeking lighter regulations and compliance than the Nasdaq and NYSE. The exchange will compete directly for primary and dual listings. \n\nBy the start of 2028, will the TXSE be seen as a serious, viable alternative to the Nasdaq and NYSE? Ie, will companies going to market in 2026-7 begin to list on the TXSE?\n\nhttps://www.reuters.com/markets/us/blackrock-citadel-backed-group-start-new-national-stock-exchange-texas-wsj-2024-06-05/\n\nThis mirrors a Manifold market: it resolves the way that market resolves.","resolutionSource":"Manifold's resolution (by its creator, with Manifold's moderators as backstop). N/A or canceled there means everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 7:49 PM ET · World Day 840","resolves":1830578340,"resolvesText":"Jan 4, 12:59 AM ET · World Day 11,766","evidence":null,"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791244140,"p":[0.1853,0.8147],"r":[0.1853,0.8147]},{"at":1791256860,"p":[0.1853,0.8147],"r":[0.1853,0.8147]},{"at":1791258441,"p":[0.1853,0.8147],"r":[0.1853,0.8147]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":18.53,"bestBid":18,"bestAsk":19,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":19,"shares":34,"people":0,"house":34,"total":6.46},{"price":20,"shares":70,"people":0,"house":70,"total":20.46},{"price":21,"shares":67,"people":0,"house":67,"total":34.53},{"price":22,"shares":65,"people":0,"house":65,"total":48.83},{"price":23,"shares":63,"people":0,"house":63,"total":63.32},{"price":24,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":77.96}],"bids":[{"price":18,"shares":39,"people":0,"house":39,"total":7.02},{"price":17,"shares":76,"people":0,"house":76,"total":19.94},{"price":16,"shares":80,"people":0,"house":80,"total":32.74},{"price":15,"shares":84,"people":0,"house":84,"total":45.34},{"price":14,"shares":89,"people":0,"house":89,"total":57.8},{"price":13,"shares":94,"people":0,"house":94,"total":70.02}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":81.47,"bestBid":81,"bestAsk":82,"spread":1,"last":null,"asks":[{"price":82,"shares":39,"people":0,"house":39,"total":31.98},{"price":83,"shares":76,"people":0,"house":76,"total":95.06},{"price":84,"shares":80,"people":0,"house":80,"total":162.26},{"price":85,"shares":84,"people":0,"house":84,"total":233.66},{"price":86,"shares":89,"people":0,"house":89,"total":310.2},{"price":87,"shares":94,"people":0,"house":94,"total":391.98}],"bids":[{"price":81,"shares":34,"people":0,"house":34,"total":27.54},{"price":80,"shares":70,"people":0,"house":70,"total":83.54},{"price":79,"shares":67,"people":0,"house":67,"total":136.47},{"price":78,"shares":65,"people":0,"house":65,"total":187.17},{"price":77,"shares":63,"people":0,"house":63,"total":235.68},{"price":76,"shares":61,"people":0,"house":61,"total":282.04}],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":28,"slug":"fed-decision-in-october","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/fed-decision-in-october","q":"Fed 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Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}