{"id":580,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-846-above-75-8-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-846-above-75-8-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 846 above 75.8 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5732,"ref":0.3624},{"name":"No","p":0.4268,"ref":0.6376}],"chance":0.5732,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.3624,"b":1000,"state":[-556.480792,-851.493202],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791255687,"closes":1791262800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 1 AM ET · World Day 845","closesWorldDay":845,"status":"resolved","winner":"No","resolved":1791266441,"creator":null,"about":"Vin et Fleur trades at 77.4 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Vin et Fleur's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 846 (Oct 6, 2 AM ET) is above 75.8 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 845, as World Day 846 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 5, 11:01 PM ET · World Day 844","resolves":1791266400,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 2 AM ET · World Day 846","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","value":74.95316361117503,"line":75.8,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":846,"at":1791266400,"read":1791266441},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791255660,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.5732,0.4268]},{"at":1791256260,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.5842,0.4158]},{"at":1791257160,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.641,0.359]},{"at":1791257460,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.6671,0.3329]},{"at":1791257760,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.6747,0.3253]},{"at":1791258060,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.6805,0.3195]},{"at":1791258660,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.7093,0.2907]},{"at":1791259560,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.5361,0.4639]},{"at":1791260160,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.1275,0.8725]},{"at":1791260460,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.0827,0.9173]},{"at":1791260760,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.05,0.95]},{"at":1791261360,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.0913,0.9087]},{"at":1791261660,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.1756,0.8244]},{"at":1791261960,"p":[0.5732,0.4268],"r":[0.371,0.629]},{"at":1791266441,"p":[0,1],"r":[0.3624,0.6376]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":57.32,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":42.68,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":796,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-850-above-77-2-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-850-above-77-2-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 850 above 77.2 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.2281,"ref":0.1944},{"name":"No","p":0.7719,"ref":0.8056}],"chance":0.2281,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":638,"trades":7,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.1944,"b":1000,"state":[-839.509724,379.503045],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791269921,"closes":1791277200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 5 AM ET · World Day 849","closesWorldDay":849,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres1744xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":762,"slug":"will-the-clank-index-close-world-day-850-above-1-511","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-the-clank-index-close-world-day-850-above-1-511","q":"Will the CLANK index close World Day 850 above 1,511?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clank-index","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5322,"ref":0.747},{"name":"No","p":0.4678,"ref":0.253}],"chance":0.5322,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":202,"trades":5,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/finance","ref":0.747,"b":1000,"state":[-428.070305,-556.885357],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791267461,"closes":1791277200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 5 AM ET · World Day 849","closesWorldDay":849,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres614xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":837,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-851-above-0-501-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-851-above-0-501-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 851 above 0.501 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.75,"ref":0.75},{"name":"No","p":0.25,"ref":0.25}],"chance":0.75,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.75,"b":1000,"state":[-287.682072,-1386.294361],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791273701,"closes":1791280800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6 AM ET · World Day 850","closesWorldDay":850,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":838,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-851-above-73-7-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-851-above-73-7-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 851 above 73.7 gold a 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share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4332,"ref":0.7352},{"name":"No","p":0.5668,"ref":0.2648}],"chance":0.4332,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.7352,"b":1000,"state":[-836.503241,-567.788916],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791273701,"closes":1791280800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6 AM ET · World Day 850","closesWorldDay":850,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":840,"slug":"will-dentistry-on-yorkville-close-world-day-851-above-39-6-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-dentistry-on-yorkville-close-world-day-851-above-39-6-gold-a-share","q":"Will Dentistry On Yorkville close World Day 851 above 39.6 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4996,"ref":0.8895},{"name":"No","p":0.5004,"ref":0.1105}],"chance":0.4996,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.8895,"b":1000,"state":[-694.038648,-692.256507],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791273701,"closes":1791280800,"closesText":"Oct 6, 6 AM ET · World Day 850","closesWorldDay":850,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}