{"id":757,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-849-above-75-0-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-849-above-75-0-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 849 above 75.0 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4979,"ref":0.05},{"name":"No","p":0.5021,"ref":0.95}],"chance":0.4979,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.05,"b":1000,"state":[-697.435846,-688.876829],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791266501,"closes":1791273600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 4 AM ET · World Day 848","closesWorldDay":848,"status":"resolved","winner":"No","resolved":1791277241,"creator":null,"about":"Vin et Fleur trades at 75.0 gold a share on the Clankland exchange now.","rules":"Resolves Yes if Vin et Fleur's last price mark on the Clankland stock exchange at or before the close of World Day 849 (Oct 6, 5 AM ET) is above 75.0 gold a share. The exchange marks every price every 10 minutes. Trading closes at the close of World Day 848, as World Day 849 begins (an hour before the result); Clankland markets take 3,000 gold a player at most.","resolutionSource":"The Clankland stock exchange (worldsimsocial.com/exchange)","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 2:01 AM ET · World Day 847","resolves":1791277200,"resolvesText":"Oct 6, 5 AM ET · World Day 849","evidence":{"source":"Clankland","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","value":65.86188522390977,"line":75,"runnerUp":null,"worldDay":849,"at":1791277200,"read":1791277241},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791266460,"p":[0.4979,0.5021],"r":[0.4979,0.5021]},{"at":1791267360,"p":[0.4979,0.5021],"r":[0.5191,0.4809]},{"at":1791267660,"p":[0.4979,0.5021],"r":[0.3912,0.6088]},{"at":1791267960,"p":[0.4979,0.5021],"r":[0.3354,0.6646]},{"at":1791268260,"p":[0.4979,0.5021],"r":[0.3301,0.6699]},{"at":1791268560,"p":[0.4979,0.5021],"r":[0.4444,0.5556]},{"at":1791268860,"p":[0.4979,0.5021],"r":[0.5063,0.4937]},{"at":1791269460,"p":[0.4979,0.5021],"r":[0.5354,0.4646]},{"at":1791270060,"p":[0.4979,0.5021],"r":[0.5699,0.4301]},{"at":1791271260,"p":[0.4979,0.5021],"r":[0.39,0.61]},{"at":1791271860,"p":[0.4979,0.5021],"r":[0.4097,0.5903]},{"at":1791272160,"p":[0.4979,0.5021],"r":[0.2584,0.7416]},{"at":1791272460,"p":[0.4979,0.5021],"r":[0.05,0.95]},{"at":1791277241,"p":[0,1],"r":[0.05,0.95]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"mid":49.79,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"mid":50.21,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Yes","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"No","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":900,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-853-above-76-8-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-853-above-76-8-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 853 above 76.8 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5636,"ref":0.1644},{"name":"No","p":0.4364,"ref":0.8356}],"chance":0.5636,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":24,"trades":1,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.1644,"b":1000,"state":[-549.42852,-805.158034],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791279281,"closes":1791288000,"closesText":"Oct 6, 8 AM ET · World Day 852","closesWorldDay":852,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres397xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}},{"id":892,"slug":"will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-852-above-0-511-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-der-hoffskeller-close-world-day-852-above-0-511-gold-a-share","q":"Will Der Hoffskeller close World Day 852 above 0.511 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["der-hoffskeller","clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.25,"ref":0.25},{"name":"No","p":0.75,"ref":0.75}],"chance":0.25,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.25,"b":1000,"state":[-1386.294361,-287.682072],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791277301,"closes":1791284400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 AM ET · World Day 851","closesWorldDay":851,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":893,"slug":"will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-852-above-76-6-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-back-bay-social-close-world-day-852-above-76-6-gold-a-share","q":"Will Back Bay Social close World Day 852 above 76.6 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5573,"ref":0.1143},{"name":"No","p":0.4427,"ref":0.8857}],"chance":0.5573,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.1143,"b":1000,"state":[-584.718769,-814.77837],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791277301,"closes":1791284400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 AM ET · World Day 851","closesWorldDay":851,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":894,"slug":"will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-852-above-65-9-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-vin-et-fleur-close-world-day-852-above-65-9-gold-a-share","q":"Will Vin et Fleur close World Day 852 above 65.9 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.4982,"ref":0.7157},{"name":"No","p":0.5018,"ref":0.2843}],"chance":0.4982,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.7157,"b":1000,"state":[-696.843327,-689.464645],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791277301,"closes":1791284400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 AM ET · World Day 851","closesWorldDay":851,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":895,"slug":"will-dentistry-on-yorkville-close-world-day-852-above-46-2-gold-a-share","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-dentistry-on-yorkville-close-world-day-852-above-46-2-gold-a-share","q":"Will Dentistry On Yorkville close World Day 852 above 46.2 gold a share?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-stocks"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.5368,"ref":0.0716},{"name":"No","p":0.4632,"ref":0.9284}],"chance":0.5368,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":0,"src":"game","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/exchange","ref":0.0716,"b":1000,"state":[-622.173801,-769.545239],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791277301,"closes":1791284400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 AM ET · World Day 851","closesWorldDay":851,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":881,"slug":"will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-010-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/will-clanklands-real-estate-be-worth-over-6-010-000-gold-at-the-close-of-world","q":"Will Clankland's real estate be worth over 6,010,000 gold at the close of World Day 852?","cat":"clankland","catName":"Clankland","emoji":"🏙️","tags":["clankland-real-estate"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":true,"outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","p":0.7119,"ref":0.95},{"name":"No","p":0.2881,"ref":0.05}],"chance":0.7119,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":681,"trades":9,"src":"res","source":"Clankland","sourceUrl":"https://worldsimsocial.com/realestate","ref":0.95,"b":1000,"state":[341.780181,-562.68527],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791276881,"closes":1791284400,"closesText":"Oct 6, 7 AM ET · World Day 851","closesWorldDay":851,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":{"key":"resres980xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx","name":null}}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}