{"id":767,"slug":"wuning-3-evan-zhu-vs-koki-matsuda","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/wuning-3-evan-zhu-vs-koki-matsuda","q":"Wuning 3: Evan Zhu vs Koki Matsuda","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":[],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Evan Zhu","p":0.855,"ref":0.999},{"name":"Koki Matsuda","p":0.145,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.855,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":0,"trades":[],"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/atp-zh-matsuda-2026-10-04","ref":0.999,"b":1220,"state":[-191.117648,-2355.846275],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791268541,"closes":1791770400,"closesText":"Oct 11, 10 PM ET · World Day 986","closesWorldDay":986,"status":"resolved","winner":"Evan Zhu","resolved":1791272202,"creator":null,"about":null,"rules":"This market refers to the tennis match between Evan Zhu and Koki Matsuda in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Evan Zhu' if Evan Zhu advances against Koki Matsuda.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Koki Matsuda' if Koki Matsuda advances against Evan Zhu.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.\n\nIf the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"Polymarket's own resolution (UMA's optimistic oracle). If Polymarket voids or cancels it, everyone is refunded here.","fee":{"taker":0.07,"maker":0,"formula":"ceil(rate x shares x P x (1 - P)) cents of gold, P = the price in gold"},"createdText":"Oct 6, 2:35 AM ET · World Day 847","resolves":1791770400,"resolvesText":"Oct 11, 10 PM ET · World Day 986","evidence":{"source":"Polymarket","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/atp-zh-matsuda-2026-10-04","prices":[1,0],"uma":"resolved","closedTime":"2026-10-06 07:27:00+00","read":1791272201},"proposal":null,"history":[{"at":1791268500,"p":[0.855,0.145],"r":[0.855,0.145]},{"at":1791268560,"p":[0.855,0.145],"r":[0.885,0.115]},{"at":1791269160,"p":[0.855,0.145],"r":[0.875,0.125]},{"at":1791269760,"p":[0.855,0.145],"r":[0.999,0.001]},{"at":1791272202,"p":[1,0],"r":[0.999,0.001]}],"book":[{"outcome":"Evan Zhu","o":0,"mid":85.5,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}},{"outcome":"Koki Matsuda","o":1,"mid":14.5,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"last":null,"asks":[],"bids":[],"people":{"asks":[],"bids":[]}}],"holders":[{"outcome":"Evan Zhu","o":0,"top":[],"count":0},{"outcome":"Koki Matsuda","o":1,"top":[],"count":0}],"related":[{"id":195,"slug":"albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/albania-vs-san-marino-who-wins","q":"Albania vs. San Marino: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Albania","p":0.8777,"ref":0.9636},{"name":"Draw (Albania vs. San Marino)","p":0.1124,"ref":0.0254},{"name":"San Marino","p":0.0073,"ref":0.01},{"name":"Other","p":0.0026,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8777,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1764,"trades":58,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-alb-smr-2026-10-06","ref":0.9636,"b":2845,"state":[906.392652,-4940.564444,-12719.753327,-15708.618558],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234085,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":181,"slug":"india-vs-uruguay-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/india-vs-uruguay-who-wins","q":"India vs. Uruguay: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Uruguay","p":0.896,"ref":0.9525},{"name":"Draw (India vs. Uruguay)","p":0.0966,"ref":0.036},{"name":"India","p":0.0056,"ref":0.0105},{"name":"Other","p":0.0019,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.896,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1692,"trades":31,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/fif-ind-ury-2026-10-06","ref":0.9525,"b":2035,"state":[1332.74166,-3199.977146,-9008.653154,-11236.205398],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791233605,"closes":1791295200,"closesText":"Oct 6, 10 AM ET · World Day 854","closesWorldDay":854,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":206,"slug":"england-vs-czechia-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/england-vs-czechia-who-wins","q":"England vs. Czechia: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"England","p":0.8019,"ref":0.8824},{"name":"Draw (England vs. Czechia)","p":0.1693,"ref":0.0847},{"name":"Czechia","p":0.0262,"ref":0.0319},{"name":"Other","p":0.0027,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.8019,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1215,"trades":42,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/unl-eng-cze-2026-10-06","ref":0.8824,"b":2723,"state":[452.062727,-3783.753059,-8868.622671,-15034.986873],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234205,"closes":1791312300,"closesText":"Oct 6, 2:45 PM ET · World Day 859","closesWorldDay":859,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":56,"slug":"lol-hanjin-brion-vs-natus-vincere-bo3-demacia-cup-global-invitational-group","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/lol-hanjin-brion-vs-natus-vincere-bo3-demacia-cup-global-invitational-group","q":"LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["esports"],"kind":"binary","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"HANJIN BRION","p":0.6587,"ref":0.925},{"name":"Natus Vincere","p":0.3413,"ref":0.075}],"chance":0.6587,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":702,"trades":18,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lol-bro2-navi-2026-10-06","ref":0.925,"b":2044,"state":[-171.920508,-1516.219393],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791231805,"closes":1791291600,"closesText":"Oct 6, 9 AM ET · World Day 853","closesWorldDay":853,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":229,"slug":"pro-football-2026-27-return-yards-leader-team-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/pro-football-2026-27-return-yards-leader-team-who-wins","q":"Pro Football: 2026-27 Return Yards Leader (Team): who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["nfl"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"Houston Texans","p":0.1887,"ref":0.0536},{"name":"Cleveland Browns","p":0.128,"ref":0.0985},{"name":"Cincinnati Bengals","p":0.0678,"ref":0.0708},{"name":"Tampa Bay Buccaneers","p":0.0524,"ref":0.0703},{"name":"Washington Commanders","p":0.0276,"ref":0.0545},{"name":"Green Bay Packers","p":0.0133,"ref":0.0251},{"name":"Arizona Cardinals","p":0.0216,"ref":0.0448},{"name":"Minnesota Vikings","p":0.0156,"ref":0.0409},{"name":"New England Patriots","p":0.0096,"ref":0.0356},{"name":"Indianapolis Colts","p":0.0096,"ref":0.0356},{"name":"Other","p":0.4658,"ref":0.4703}],"chance":0.1887,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":1598,"trades":49,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-27-return-yards-leader-team-20260720202833323","ref":0.0536,"b":1340,"state":[-636.579785,-1156.19757,-2009.074831,-2354.074831,-3213.630446,-4189.019256,-3539.344174,-3979.124423,-4623.245876,-4623.245876,574.246919],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791234685,"closes":1801025940,"closesText":"Jan 26, 11:59 PM ET · World Day 3,557","closesWorldDay":3557,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null},{"id":243,"slug":"fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","url":"https://worldsimsocial.com/predict/fc-barcelona-vs-getafe-cf-who-wins","q":"FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: who wins?","cat":"sports","catName":"Sports","emoji":"🏟️","tags":["soccer"],"kind":"multi","yesNo":false,"outcomes":[{"name":"FC Barcelona","p":0.855,"ref":0.9232},{"name":"Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF)","p":0.1126,"ref":0.0454},{"name":"Getafe CF","p":0.0288,"ref":0.0304},{"name":"Other","p":0.0037,"ref":0.001}],"chance":0.855,"change24":null,"change7d":null,"vol":276,"trades":19,"src":"poly","source":"Polymarket","sourceUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lal-bar-get-2026-10-10","ref":0.9232,"b":2413,"state":[-174.817277,-5066.597876,-8359.289617,-13323.347527],"taker":0.07,"currency":"gold","created":1791235405,"closes":1791649800,"closesText":"Oct 10, 12:30 PM ET · World Day 953","closesWorldDay":953,"status":"open","winner":null,"resolved":null,"creator":null}],"you":null,"notice":"This simulated world is for fun and experimentation. Clankbook Predict is played with game gold, which has no cash value. It is not a real-money prediction market, and nothing here is financial advice."}